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In nineteen-eighty-two I read a book titled Megatends by John Naisbitt. It fascinated me. It read like a list of Nostradamus prophesies, but none of the predictions were created by a seer getting messages from God they were documented trends. I can truthfully report that all of the trends predicted in that book have become mainstream. A friend recently sent me a new list of trends that read like prophecies, except we already see some of these things happening.

WELCOME TO TOMORROW……!

1- The basic auto repair shops will disappear. Read on to know why.

2- A gasoline engine has 20,000 individual parts. An electrical motor has 20. Electric cars are sold with lifetime guarantees and are repaired only by dealers. It takes only 10 minutes to remove and replace an electric motor.

3- Faulty electric motors are not repaired in the dealership but are sent to a regional repair shop that repairs them with robots

4- Your electric motor malfunction light goes on, so you drive up to what looks like a car wash, and your car is towed through while you have a cup of coffee and out comes your car with a new electric motor!

5- Gas pumps will go away.

6- Street corners will have meters that dispense electricity. Companies will install electrical recharging stations; in fact, they’ve already started in the developed world.

7- Smart major auto manufacturers have already designated money to start building new plants that build only electric cars.

8-Coal industries will go away. Gasoline/oil companies will go away. Drilling for oil will stop. So say goodbye to OPEC! The middle-east is in trouble

9- Homes will produce and store more electrical energy during the day and then what they don’t use, they will sell it back to the grid. The grid stores it and dispenses it to industries that are high electricity users. Has anybody seen the Tesla roof?

10- A baby of today will see personal cars only in museums. The FUTURE is approaching faster than most of us can handle.

11- In 1998, Kodak had 170,000 employees and sold 85% of all photo paper worldwide. Within just a few years, their business model disappeared and they went bankrupt. Who would have thought of that ever happening?

12- What happened to Kodak and Polaroid will happen in a lot of industries in the next 5-10 years … and most people don’t see it coming.

13- Did you think in 1998 that 3 years later, you would never take pictures on film again? With today’s smart phones, who even has a camera these days?

14- Yet digital cameras were invented in 1975. The first ones only had 10,000 pixels, but followed Moore’s law. So as with all exponential technologies, it was a disappointment for a time, before it became way superior and became mainstream in only a few short years.

15- It will now happen again (but much faster) with Artificial Intelligence, health, autonomous and electric cars, education, 3D printing, agriculture and jobs.

16- Forget the book, “Future Shock”, welcome to the 4th Industrial Revolution.

17- Software has disrupted and will continue to disrupt most traditional industries in the next 5-10 years.

18- UBER is just a software tool, they don’t own any cars, and are now the biggest taxi company in the world! Ask any taxi driver if they saw that coming.

19- Airbnb is now the biggest hotel company in the world, although they don’t own any properties. Ask Hilton Hotels if they saw that coming.

20- Artificial Intelligence: Computers become exponentially better in understanding the world. This year, a computer beat the best Go-player in the world, 10 years earlier than expected.

21- In the USA, young lawyers already don’t get jobs. Because of IBM’s, you can get legal advice (so far for right now, the basic stuff) within seconds, with 90% accuracy compared with 70% accuracy when done by humans. So, if you study law, stop immediately. There will be 90% fewer lawyers in the future , (what a thought!) only omniscient specialists will remain.

22- Watson already helps nurses diagnosing cancer, it’s 4 times more accurate than human nurses.

23- Facebook now has a pattern recognition software that can recognize faces better than humans. In 2030, computers will become more intelligent than humans.

24- Autonomous cars: In 2018 the first self-driving cars are already here. In the next 2 years, the entire industry will start to be disrupted. You won’t want to own a car any ’more as you will call a car with your phone, it will show up at your location and drive you to your destination.

25- You will not need to park it, you will pay only for the driven distance and you can be productive while driving. The very young children of today will never get a driver’s license and will never own a car.

26- This will change our cities, because we will need 90-95% fewer cars. We can transform former parking spaces into green parks.

27- About 1.2 million people die each year in car accidents worldwide including distracted or drunk driving. We now have one accident every 60,000 miles; with autonomous driving that will drop to 1 accident in 6 million miles That will save a million lives plus worldwide each year.

28- Most traditional car companies will doubtless become bankrupt. They will try the evolutionary approach and just build a better car, while tech companies (Tesla, Apple, Google) will do the revolutionary approach and build a computer on wheels.

29- Look at what Volvo is doing right now; no more internal combustion engines in their vehicles starting this year with the 2019 models, using all electric or hybrid only, with the intent of phasing out hybrid models.

30- Many engineers from Volkswagen and Audi are completely terrified of Tesla and they should be. Look at all the companies offering all electric vehicles. That was unheard of, only a few years ago.

31- Insurance companies will have massive trouble because, without accidents, the costs will become cheaper. Their car insurance business model will disappear.

32- Real estate will change. Because if you can work while you commute, people will abandon their towers to move far away to more beautiful affordable locations.

33- Electric cars will become mainstream about 2030. Cities will be less noisy because all new cars will run on electricity.

34- Cities will have much cleaner air as well.

35- Electricity will become incredibly cheap and clean.

36- Solar production has been on an exponential curve for 30 years, but you can now see the burgeoning impact. And it’s just getting ramped up.

37- Fossil energy companies are desperately trying to limit access to the grid to prevent competition from home solar installations, but that simply cannot continue – technology will take care of that strategy.

38- Health: The Tricorder X price will be announced this year. There are companies who will build a medical device (called the “Tricorder” from Star Trek) that works with your phone, which takes your retina scan, your blood sample and you breath into it. It then analyses 54 bio-markers that will identify nearly any Disease. There are dozens of phone apps out there right now for health

WELCOME TO TOMORROW – some of it actually arrived a few years ago.

https://www.technibble.com/forums/members/barcelona.117497/

What I have not seen in this article is a plausible explanation of where the electricity to run all these inventions will come from. The closest is that solar cells are getting better. They will have to be ten-thousand times more efficient to generate the amount of electricity used by electric vehicles in the amount of fossil fuel generated power today.

COVID-19 has caused many of these innovations to become reality in the time we are hiding from the virus. Many of the computer devices doing diagnosis and doctor-patient face to face video conferences are becoming more realistic because we are actually using these systems. I personally witnessed a video conference between a doctor and patient in a hospital that took place via face to face video. I went to pick up a lady in the emergency room at Chicago’s Cook County Hospital. She was being discharged but she needed instructions for how to take care of herself once she got home. She does not speak English very well. Not a problem, she spoke Polish, Russian, and Lithuanian fluently. A nurse wheels up a portable video screen and types in her needs, doctor, discharge instructions, Russian. A young man appears on the screen live, and begins asking questions in Russian; the patient returns answers. She understands everything he tells her. The whole conference takes less than fifteen minutes to arrange and complete. If this lady had to rely on the old system she would have spent at least another four hours in the emergency room taking up space as she waited for an interpreter to come .

We may see the list of predictions above come true within ten years or it may take another hundred to happen, but these things will happen because they are not just dreams they are trends based on actual science that is happening today.

Change or Not?

American civil rights activist Bayard Rustin, pictured in 1964, as spokesman for the Citywide Committee for Integration, at the organization’s headquarters, Silcam Presbyterian Church in New York City.

There is a ninety percent chance that I will get into trouble for expressing my opinion on this matter. The article below is very timely and very true. Surprisingly, it is written by a very liberal author who works for a very liberal newspaper published in a very black city. He very adroitly lists all the things we have tried to solve the divide between blacks and white in the USA. He is very correct in all of them, but I believe he left out one very important point, i.e. the root cause of the problem. First, please read the essay and then I will add my argument.

 “The Baltimore Sun is definitely not known as a Conservative newspaper, so this very well written assessment of the situation in USA comes as something of a surprise..  “For almost 150 years the United States has been conducting an interesting experiment.  The subjects of the experiment:  black people and working-class whites. The hypothesis to be tested: Can a people taken from the jungles of Africa and forced into slavery be fully integrated as citizens in a majority white population? The whites were descendants of Europeans who had created a majestic civilization.  The former slaves had been tribal peoples with no written language and virtually no intellectual achievements.  Acting on a policy that was not fair to either group, the government released newly freed black people into a white society that saw them as inferiors.  America has struggled with racial discord ever since. Decade after decade the problems persisted but the experimenters never gave up.  They insisted that if they could find the right formula the experiment would work, and concocted program after program to get the result they wanted.  They created the Freedmans Bureau, passed civil rights laws, tried to build the Great Society, declared War on Poverty, ordered race preferences, built housing projects, and tried midnight basketball. Their new laws intruded into peoples lives in ways that would have been otherwise unthinkable.  They called in National Guard troops to enforce school integration.  They outlawed freedom of association.  Over the protests of parents, they put white children on buses and sent them to black schools and vice-versa.  They tried with money, special programs, relaxed standards, and endless hand wringing to close the achievement gap.  To keep white backlash in check they began punishing public and even private statements on race.  They hung up Orwellian public banners that commanded whites to Celebrate Diversity! and Say No to Racism.  Nothing was off limits if it might salvage the experiment. Some thought that what W.E.B. DuBois called the Talented Tenth would lead the way for black people.  A group of elite, educated blacks would knock down doors of opportunity and show the world what blacks were capable of. There is a Talented Tenth.  They are the black Americans who have become entrepreneurs, lawyers, doctors and scientists.  But ten percent is not enough.  For the experiment to work, the ten percent has to be followed by a critical mass of people who can hold middle-class jobs and promote social stability.  That is what is missing. Through the years, too many black people continue to show an inability to function and prosper in a culture unsuited to them.  Detroit is bankrupt, the south side of Chicago is a war zone, and the vast majority of black cities all over America are beset by degeneracy and violence.  And blacks never take responsibility for their failures.  Instead, they lash out in anger and resentment. Across the generations and across the country, as we have seen in Detroit, Watts, Newark, Los Angeles, Cincinnati, and now Ferguson, rioting and looting are just one racial incident away.  The white elite would tell us that this doesn’t mean the experiment has failed. We just have to try harder.  We need more money, more time, more understanding, more programs, and more opportunities. But nothing changes no matter how much money is spent, no matter how many laws are passed, no matter how many black geniuses are portrayed on TV, and no matter who is president.  Some argue its a problem of culture, as if culture creates peoples behavior instead of the other way around. Others blame white privilege. But since 1965, when the elites opened Americas doors to the Third World, immigrants from Asia and India, people who are not white, not rich, and not connected have quietly succeeded.  While the children of these people are winning spelling bees and getting top scores on the SAT, black youths are committing half the country’s violent crime, which includes viciously punching random white people on the street for the thrill of it that has nothing to do with poverty. The experiment has failed.  Not because of white culture, or white privilege, or white racism.  The fundamental problem is that American black culture has evolved into an un-fixable and crime ridden mess. *They do not want to change their culture or society, and expect others to tolerate their violence and amoral behavior.  They have become socially incompatible with other races by their own design, not because of the racism of others – but by their own hatred of non-blacks.* Our leaders don’t seem to understand just how tired their white subjects are with this experiment.  *They don’t understand that white people aren’t out to get black people; they are just exhausted with them.  They are exhausted by the social pathologies, the violence, the endless complaints, and the blind racial solidarity, the bottomless pit of grievances, the excuses, and the reflexive animosity.* The elites explain everything with racism, and refuse to believe that white frustration could soon reach the boiling point.”— “You can’t legislate the poor into freedom by legislating the wealthy out of freedom.  What one person receives without working for, another person must work for without receiving.  The government can’t give to anybody anything that the government doesn’t first take from somebody else.  When half of the people get the idea that they don’t have to work because the other half is going to take care of them, and when the other half gets the idea that it does no good to work because somebody else is going to get what they work for, that my dear friend, is about the end of any nation.You cannot multiply wealth by dividing it.” 

Ian Duncan The Baltimore Sun

The part of the experiment that is ignored is the part about examining the laws and policies that have contributed to creating the culture that has permeated the black society. This new culture of the Great Society has created a black culture that rejects religion, family, and marriage. Instead it promotes having children, not because it is a natural by product of marital love but because that is what increases their wealth on welfare. In fact, a husband is a detriment to a woman who wants a better livelihood. Men would inevitably go to work for the family and thus endanger the limit a unit can earn before it loses the handout.

Another policy that has failed is that of promoting abortion for the black society based on the premise that this is the best way to control the number of people that are on welfare. (Nancy Pelosi has stated this). Black men raised by single mother’s typically lose to gangs and the mentality of studding. Look at the statistics of black super stars who have fathered multiple children by as many wives as there are kids. The lack of religion and a father figure to lead these men has ruined their ability to think with their God given brain and to defer to their God given penis.

I received the following essay:

Not  Only  the  Knee. . . !The knee is not the only problem . . . 68 children by 52 women! 7 players! 

 Children raised in fatherless homes, especially black children, are far more likely than children raised in two parent homes to engage in criminal behavior and thus have contact with police. Ergo when they father a child with a woman to whom they are not married—or at least living with—they are contributing to the problem against which these football players are taking a knee. If you look at many of these players’ records on out-of-wedlock children, you find that they are contributing significantly to the problem against which they are protesting.  For example:

Antonio Cromartie has 12 children   by 9 different women.  Apparently the NFL had to shell out $500,000 before he could even play football for them.

Travis Henry has 11 children   by 10 women,

Willis McGahee has 9 children   by 8 women,

Derrick Thomas has 7 children   by 5 different women,

Bennie Blades has 6 children   by 6 women, 

Ray Lewis has 6 children   by 4 women, and

Marshall Faulk has 6 children   by 3 women.  

Adrian Peterson has 11 kids from 7 different women.  Before these guys take a knee they should take a good look in the mirror as it appears that their problem is not the knee.

No where in the Baltimore Sun’s essay is there a word regarding action to correct failures of the Civil Rights act, and the policies emanating from it nor to add the root cause of the problems. It was the designed intention of President Lyndon Johnson who signed it into law to make Civil Rights his legacy. He bragged to governors that the Civil Rights act of 1964 with the following statement, “I’ll have them niggers voting Democratic for two hundred years.” The sole intent of the act is to guarantee Democrats political offices which they do not deserve, but desecrate with their vile society-splitting rhetoric and meaningless laws.

It is time to repeal the Civil Rights Act and all the Great Society policies that were derived from it, and to rewrite it into something that works and is meaningful.

Who Am I?

I Used To Be A Normal Person

As a man, I used to think I was pretty much just a regular person, but I was born white, into a two-parent household which now, whether I like I or not, makes me ‘privileged’, a racist and responsible for slavery.

I am a fiscal and moral conservative, which by today’s standards, makes me a fascist because I plan, budget, and support myself.

I went to High School, paid my way through college, earned a degree, and have always held a job. But I now find out that I am not here because I earned it, but because I was ‘advantaged’.

I am heterosexual, which, according to ‘gay’ folks, now makes me a homophobe.

I am not a Muslim, which labels me as an infidel.

I believe in the Second Amendment, which makes me a de-facto member of the ‘vast NRA gun lobby’.

I am older than 60, making me a useless person who doesn’t understand Facebook, Instagram, or Twitter.

I think and I reason, and I doubt much of what the ‘main-stream media’ tells me, which makes me a ‘right-wing conspiracy nut.

I am proud of my heritage and our inclusive American culture, making me a xenophobe.

I believe in hard work, fair play, and fair compensation according to each individual’s merits, which today makes me an anti-socialist.

I believe our system guarantees freedom of effort – not freedom or outcome or subsidies, which makes me a borderline sociopath.

I believe in the defense and protection of America for and by all citizens, now making me a militant.

I am proud of our flag, what it stands for and the many who died to let it fly, so I stand and salute during our National Anthem – so I must be a racist.

Please help me come to terms with the new me, because I’m just not sure who I am anymore!  If all this nonsense wasn’t enough to deal with, now I don’t even know which restroom to use – and I gotta go more frequently!

Author Unknown

Armed Fairies or Fairies and Robbers

Our country has gone absolutely insane. I’m sorry Liberals, but your move to defund the police is asinine. I am not in love with the police, but I am not in love with public violence and storm troopers with bats either. A few years ago I wrote a piece about how stupid I thought the local police are in Will County Illinois because they bought an armored vehicle. Why did they do it? Because they didn’t like being shot at by villains and the armored truck gave them protection. How unfair I thought. If I were a criminal I’d be looking for a bigger, better armored vehicle to fight with. That kind of thinking i.e. even out the playing field between cops and criminals yielded the popularity of cops arming themselves militarily. Back in the sixties the argument was that the criminals were using high capacity automatic weapons and the cops still had six shooters. I also argue that my sleepy little town of Frankfort doesn’t need forty cops on the payroll, but we do. The Mayor believes we need that many and more to provide us with protection.

My biggest gripe with the local police is the need for speed traps. Why? To be safe and to cut down on the number of deaths and injuries caused by speeding automobiles. All the speed traps do is piss off the drivers and generate a ton of money for the police force. So, if I am so against police why do I say Americans are asinine? Because there has to be some kind of balance between good and evil, like good =100 and evil =0. I also like a peaceful community.

What the Liberals propose is to de-fund police departments. That would cause communities to eliminate the police. We are a country built on the rule of law, and police are with us to enforce laws. Liberals might say that we can enforce laws with peaceful unarmed fairies. They would flit about with their magic wands and bags of fairy dust to sprinkle on criminals to deter their evil actions.

Will the world ever eliminate all evil? I don’t see that happening. There is a law of nature that dictates that for every positive there is an equal negative. It doesn’t sound right, but there is and always will be evil to fight against good. Sometimes, the evil doers will become very evil and cause harm to the good. That is when the fairies are needed to referee the matches between, and to over power the evil forces. This all assumes that good is better quality than evil. Good must prevail over evil, and cops are a necessary evil to maintain good.

Think about a world where there is absolutely no good, only evil. It is my belief that someone amongst us would realize that good is a better way to live, and begin to ward off evil. That is why we would invent cops and that is why we need cops, and not unarmed fairies.

It Just Opened and Now It’s Closed

It is tempting to restart a new log starting with “Day 1-“. Last night I walked down to the center of town and found many happy people eating, drinking, talking, laughing like they were having a good time. This morning I received a phone call from my nephew who reported that I should stay away fronted Orland Mall because of a report he got about an mob riot planned there today. Since then the expected mob has been verified by local police reports, and businesses just reopened have been shut down.

All morning and into the afternoon friends have been texting me of reports of the riot mob and their progress across the suburban area of Chicago. I always thought a riot was a spontaneous outburst of violence brought on by some provocating act. When the riot is caused by an army of people from outside the community to provoke violence I define it as a war. Was should be treated differently than a riot. War is an act of aggression on the populace for the purpose of overtaking their property. In my opinion, it should be met with force and the goal to end it to defeat the aggressors with death.

It is obvious that the death of a black man at the hands of Minneapolis police has stimulated a new movement which at this point doesn’t have a new name yet, but it is definitely not spontaneous it is well organized and funded by some larger movement within our society. My guess is that it is left wing, probably communist in origin. They don’t give a rats ass about the guy who died at the hands of a merciless cop, but rather they do want to overthrow the government so they can rule ruthlessly to meet their own agenda. The man who died was a local problem. People in Chicago, don’t really give hoot about problems in Minnesota just as Minnesotans don’t give a hoot about Chicagoans. If they did they would be down here rioting at anytime when there are ten blacks killed in a single weekend. In the case of Chicago, the deaths of blacks is not at the hands of white cops, but at the hands of blacks. It is okay if blacks kill blacks, but God help us if a black is killed by a white. If a white is killed by a cop, or by a black, it is unreported but cheered behind the scenes.

We are racially divided today more than we were before this stupidity of a far left agenda began over forty years ago. It gets worse every year, and sad to say the first black president only fuels the divide. I for one hoped he would change things for the good. He changed things but only for the worse. Trump has made an effort to unite the blacks and was mildly successful until now. It is my opinion that his success is the reason for the black uprising. The black leaders who have struggled for years to make their people part of the communist system recognize that they are losing ground and have to stir things up to fan the flames of revolution. Pour acid into the wounds of the black man and blame it on whitey so the black can be brought back into line with the party that holds them.

If I were mayor, governor, or president today, I would meet these people head on at the border and arrest them all be they peaceable or not. Blood would flow, but it would end quickly and without any time for lawyers to get involved in defending peoples rights. My actions would be to take the lawyers out too.

Someday, I may need a lawyer to help me get out of jail, and I will beg for mercy, but as soon as he does his job, I’ll be back at deriding him until he is in jail too. The entire legal system is just that a system. Lawyers are trained to know the system and to play by the rules. Laws are written by lawyers so they can easily defend or prosecute individuals for breaking the laws. There is no human compassion involved in the laws, only black and white did you do it or not? When things get grey the system is supposed to make the prosecutor prove without a doubt that I am guilty. If he can’t declare me guilty or he can change the charge to something lessor to make me guilty. The bottom line is that in the legal system we so love to behold we will never win if the prosecution doesn’t want us to. One reason blacks don’t like the system is because cops always find a way to beat the charge against themselves.

Even in the case of George Floyd the blacks see only the evidence of the cop holding the man down with his knee on the black man’s neck. They don’t listen to ,nor do they want to know that George didn’t die on the spot, he died four days later. The blacks can only riot and proclaim that the man begged for air, Well he had to be getting air from someplace because he lived for four days after the event. No one sees that as a clue that maybe there was something else that occurred that caused him to die, and not the knee on his neck. In their emotions to get justice (revenge) over whitey they demand on the spot correction of the problem. In other words the cop should have been executed on the spot and hung up on public display. Video evidence shows without a shadow of doubt that the man was treated brutally for his time.

I have a problem with why he was put in cuffs i the first place. It is rumored that he was caught passing a bad check for twenty dollars. Yes that is a crime, but does stealing twenty dollars mean you get handcuffed and thrown to the ground on your belly with your arms tied behind your back while a man with serious personal problems holds you in place with his foot on your neck? The answer is NO.

People get away with twenty dollar crimes everyday in America. The blacks believe only they get treated like George Floyd. Is that reason enough to organize riots all across America to loot, burn, and destroy property of innocents? The answer is NO.

Most likely, I don’t have all the facts at hand to simplify the situation. I don’t know if George resisted arrest, if he didn’t’ then the cop is at fault for brutality. If he did resist arrest he should have known that cops don’t like resistance from people they apprehend and will take overly cautious measures to protect themselves and their coworkers from harm. My guess is that George tried to get away. Was the knee on the neck necessary to subdue George, I don’t know, but I think not. He could have been subdued another less brutal way like locking him into the back of a police car.

My step son was a cop. He came upon a burglary in process one night and entered the building to stop the crime. He was involved in a scuffle with the perpetrator. Guns were involved with a wrestling match trying to take control of the weapon. The burglar was losing the match when he decided to bite the cop in the arm to make him let go. He sunk his teeth deep into his forearm and he did let go and was able to run, but was apprehended immediately by the back up. The cop was sent to the hospital for stitches and tetanus shots, and had limited motion in his arm having damaged tendons. He was put on leave until all the facts were known. The burglar filed charges against the cop stating this civil rights were violated. The cop was on suspension for nine months while the courts sorted out the facts. The perpetrator lived happily in jail while the cop sweated losing his job, and spent countless hours in rehab getting his arm motion back for nine months. The outcome was in favor of the cop, but he lost his drive to be an aggressive cop. He figured why am I busting my buns for breaking up a robbery and putting myself at risk for losing a job or even my life? The gun could have fired while they struggled and gone the wrong way. Cops are taught to shoot first and answer questions later. That system saves cop lives. The cop that subdued George Floyd took serious action to subdue him before George had opportunity to do him harm.

Would we have seen the video if it showed George killing the cop? My guess is NO we wouldn’t have seen it. A black man killing a white cop doesn’t make news.

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